International Journal of Intelligent Systems

This study presents an in-depth analysis of gasoline price forecasting using the adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), with an emphasis on its implications for policy-making and strategic decisions in the energy sector. The model leverages a comprehensive dataset from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, spanning over 30 years of historical price data from 1993 to 2023, along with relevant temporal features. By combining the strengths of fuzzy logic and neural networks, the ANFIS approach can effectively capture the complex, nonlinear relationships present in the data, enabling reliable price predictions. The dataset’s preprocessing involved decomposing the date into year, month, and day components to enhance the model’s input features. Our methodology entailed a systematic approach to ANFIS regression, including data preparation, model training with the inclusion of the previous week’s prices as an additional feature, and rigorous performance evaluation using MSE, RMSE, and correlation coefficients. The results indicate that incorporating previous prices significantly enhances the model’s accuracy, as reflected by improved scores and correlation metrics. The findings have significant implications for the energy sector, where stakeholders can leverage the ANFIS model’s insights for strategic decision-making. Accurate gasoline price forecasts are instrumental in devising pricing strategies, managing risks associated with price volatility, and guiding policy formulation. The model’s predictive capability enables energy companies to optimize resource allocation, plan for future investments, and maintain competitive advantage in a market influenced by fluctuating prices. Moreover, policymakers can utilize these predictions to assess the impact of energy policies on market prices and consumer behavior, ensuring that regulatory measures align with market dynamics and sustainability goals. In addition to the ANFIS model, we also employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models to validate our approach and provide a comprehensive understanding of time series forecasting within the energy sector. Notably, the ANFIS model achieves a score of 0.9970 and a robust correlation of 0.9985, demonstrating its ability to accurately forecast gasoline prices based on historical data and features. The integration of these traditional techniques with advanced ANFIS modeling offers a robust framework for accurate and reliable gasoline price prediction, which is vital for informed policy-making and strategic planning in the energy industry.

To divide a digital image into individual parts that share similar characteristics is known as digital image segmentation, and it is a vital research subject in the field of computer vision. Object recognition, medical imaging, surveillance, and video processing are just a few of the many real-world contexts where this study could prove useful. While digital image segmentation research has come a long way, there are still certain obstacles to overcome. Segmentation algorithms frequently encounter challenges in achieving both accuracy and efficiency when confronted with intricate settings, noisy pictures, or fluctuating lighting conditions. The absence of established evaluation standards adds complexity to the process of performing equitable comparisons among different segmentation methodologies. Due to the subjective nature of photo segmentation, attaining consistent results among specialists can be challenging. The integration of machine learning and deep neural networks into segmentation algorithms has introduced new challenges, including the need for large amounts of annotated data and the interpretability of the outcomes. Given these challenges, the objective of this study is to enhance the segmentation model. To this end, this research suggests a model of convolutional neural networks that is optimal for digital picture segmentation. The model is based on a dense convolution neural network, and it incorporates a transfer learning technique to significantly boost the model’s robustness and the quality of picture segmentation. The model’s adaptability to new datasets is improved by the incorporation of a transfer learning method. As demonstrated by experimental results on two publicly available datasets, the suggested methodology considerably enhances the resilience of digital picture segmentation.

Optimal maintenance decision for a sensor network aims to intelligently determine the optimal repair time. The accuracy of the optimal maintenance decision method directly affects the reliability and safety of the sensor network. This paper develops a new optimal maintenance decision method based on belief rule base considering attribute correlation (BRB-c), which is designed to address three challenges: the lack of observation data, complex system mechanisms, and characteristic correlation. This method consists of two sections: the health state assessment model and the health state prediction model. Firstly, the former is accomplished through a BRB-c-based health assessment model that considers characteristic correlation. Subsequently, based on the current health state, a Wiener process is used to predict the health state of the sensor network. After predicting the health state, experts are then required to establish the minimum threshold, which in turn determines the optimal maintenance time. To demonstrate the proposed method is effective, a case study for the wireless sensor network (WSN) of oil storage tank was conducted. The experimental data were collected from an actual storage tank sensor network in Hainan Province, China. The experimental results validate the accuracy of the developed optimal maintenance decision model, confirming its capability to efficiently predict the optimal maintenance time.

Precisely segmenting the organs at risk (OARs) in computed tomography (CT) plays an important role in radiotherapy’s treatment planning, aiding in the protection of critical tissues during irradiation. Renowned deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) and prevailing transformer-based architectures are widely utilized to accomplish the segmentation task, showcasing advantages in capturing local and contextual characteristics. Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) are another specialized model designed for processing the nongrid dataset, e.g., citation relationship. The DCNNs and GCNs are considered as two distinct models applicable to the grid and nongrid datasets, respectively. Motivated by the recently developed dynamic-channel GCN (DCGCN) that attempts to leverage the graph structure to enhance the feature extracted by the DCNNs, this paper proposes a novel architecture termed adaptive sparse GCN (ASGCN) to mitigate the inherent limitations in DCGCN from the aspect of node’s representation and adjacency matrix’s construction. For the node’s representation, the global average pooling used in the DCGCN is replaced by the learning mechanism to accommodate the segmentation task. For the adjacency matrix, an adaptive regularization strategy is leveraged to penalize the coefficient in the adjacency matrix, resulting in a sparse one that can better exploit the relationships between nodes. Rigorous experiments on multiple OARs’ segmentation tasks of the head and neck demonstrate that the proposed ASGCN can effectively improve the segmentation accuracy. Comparison between the proposed method and other prevalent architectures further confirms the superiority of the ASGCN.

This study identifies critical inefficiencies within a dual-channel operation model employed by a fast fashion company, particularly the independent operation of three logistics distribution systems. These systems result in high operational costs and low resource utilization, primarily due to redundant vehicle dispatches to meet the distinct demands of retail store replenishment, online customer orders, and customer return demands, as well as random and scattered return requests leading to vehicle underutilization. To address these challenges, we propose a novel integrated logistics distribution system design and management method tailored for dual-channel sales and distribution businesses. The approach consolidates the three distribution systems into one cohesive framework, thus streamlining the delivery process and reducing vehicle trips by combining retail and customer visits. An optimization algorithm is introduced to factor in inventory and distribution distance, aiming to achieve global optimization in pairing retail store inventory with online customer orders and unifying the distribution of replenishment products, online products, and returned products. The paper contributes to the field by introducing a new variation of the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) that arises from an integrated distribution system, combining common VRP issues with more complex challenges. A custom Branch-and-Price (B&P) algorithm is developed to efficiently find optimal routes. Furthermore, we demonstrate the benefits of the integrated system over traditional, segregated systems through real-world data analysis and assess various factors including return rates and inventory conditions. The study also enhances the model by allowing inventory transfers between retail stores, improving inventory distribution balance, and offering solutions for scenarios with critically low inventory levels. Our findings highlight a significant reduction in total operating cost savings of up to 49.9% and vehicle usage when using the integrated distribution system compared to independent two-stage and three-stage systems. The integrated approach enables the utilization of vacant vehicle space and the dynamic selection and combination of tasks, preventing unnecessary mileage and space wastage. Notably, the integration of inventory sharing among retail stores has proven to be a key factor in generating feasible solutions under tight inventory conditions and reducing operational costs and vehicle numbers, with the benefits amplified in large-scale problem instances.

Syslog is a critical data source for analyzing system problems. Converting unstructured log entries into structured log data is necessary for effective log analysis. However, existing log parsing methods demonstrate promising accuracy on limited datasets, but their generalizability and precision are uncertain when applied to diverse log data. Enhancements in these areas are necessary. This paper proposes an online log parsing method called DLLog, which is based on deep learning and has the longest common subsequence. DLLog utilizes the GRU neural network to mine template words and applies the longest common subsequence to parse log entries in real-time. In the offline stage, DLLog combines multiple log features to accurately extract the template words, creating a log template set to assist online log parsing. In the online stage, DLLog parses log entries by calculating the matching degree between the real-time log entry and the log template in the log template set. This method also supports the incremental update of the log template set to handle new log entries generated by systems. We summarized the previous works and validated DLLog using real log data collected from 16 systems. The results demonstrate that DLLog achieves high parsing accuracy, universality, and adaptability.